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Nigeria Out of Top 10 in IMF’s Africa Growth List

Africa’s Fastest-Growing Economies in 2026: Ethiopia Tops IMF Ranking as Nigeria Misses Top 10

Emmanuel Odekina Iyede by Emmanuel Odekina Iyede
June 7, 2026
in Business, Politics, Travel, World
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Africa Growth Ranking 2026 IMF
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By Enemona Samuel Endurance

Several African economies are expected to sustain strong growth momentum in 2026, with projections indicating expansion rates significantly above the global average.

Data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) shows that African economies are projected to grow between 5.9% and 9.2% in 2026, underscoring the continent’s continued position as one of the world’s fastest-growing regions.

The Bureau Journal reports that Nigeria, despite its status as Africa’s third-largest economy by GDP, is projected to grow by 4.1% in 2026, placing it outside the top 10 fastest-growing economies on the continent.

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Top 10 Fastest-Growing African Economies in 2026

10. Democratic Republic of Congo (5.9%)

The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is projected to grow by 5.9% in 2026, driven largely by copper and cobalt production. Its mining sector continues to position the country as a critical supplier of battery minerals for the global energy transition.

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9. Djibouti (6.0%)

Djibouti’s economy is expected to expand by 6.0%, supported by logistics infrastructure, port services, and its strategic location along key global shipping routes.

8. Côte d’Ivoire (6.2%)

Côte d’Ivoire is projected to grow by 6.2%, backed by agriculture, manufacturing, construction, and its dominant cocoa export industry.

7. Niger (6.7%)

Niger is forecast to expand by 6.7%, supported by oil production and extractive sector investments despite ongoing political and security challenges.

6. Libya (6.7%)

Libya is projected to grow by 6.7%, following a strong rebound in oil production after an exceptional recovery in 2025.

5. Benin (7.0%)

Benin is expected to record 7.0% growth, driven by infrastructure development, agriculture expansion, and trade reforms.

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4. Rwanda (7.2%)

Rwanda’s economy is projected to grow by 7.2%, supported by services, tourism, technology, and sustained investment inflows.

3. Uganda (7.5%)

Uganda is forecast to grow by 7.5%, boosted by oil sector development, agriculture, manufacturing, and infrastructure expansion.

2. Guinea (8.7%)

Guinea is projected to expand by 8.7%, largely driven by bauxite mining and its strategic role in global aluminium supply chains.

1. Ethiopia (9.2%)

Ethiopia tops the ranking with projected growth of 9.2%, supported by industrialisation, agriculture, services, and ongoing economic reforms.

Where Nigeria Stands

Nigeria is projected to grow by 4.1% in 2026, slightly above the 4.0% forecast for 2025, according to IMF estimates. However, this places Africa’s third-largest economy outside the continent’s top 10 fastest-growing economies.

Recent capital flow data shows improved investor sentiment. Nigeria recorded $10.37 billion in capital importation in Q1 2026, marking an 83.83% year-on-year increase, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

The inflows were largely driven by portfolio investments, particularly money market instruments and government securities, while foreign direct investment accounted for just 1.3% of total inflows.

Despite the surge in capital importation, analysts note that Nigeria’s growth remains constrained by structural challenges that limit the translation of financial inflows into productive economic expansion.

What This Means for Africa

The ranking highlights the dominance of East and West African economies, with Ethiopia, Uganda, Rwanda, and Guinea leading growth momentum. Resource-rich economies such as Libya, Niger, and the DRC also feature strongly, underscoring the role of commodities in driving expansion.

For Nigeria, the IMF outlook signals modest improvement but also reflects a widening gap between financial market confidence and real-sector productivity.

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Analysts say closing this gap will require deeper reforms, improved infrastructure, stronger industrial output, and sustained investment in productive sectors.

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Emmanuel Odekina Iyede

Emmanuel Odekina Iyede

Emmanuel Odekina Iyede is a journalist and digital media professional with over 10 years of experience covering politics, business, technology and environmental issues. He focuses on reporting developments that shape Nigeria, its economy, people and future.

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